Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 374.673487 424.866726 480.458489 546.797931 624.069753 711.545374 818.507548
2025-12-07 293.163785 357.602471 435.347436 536.855904 667.065071 830.066597 1052.061500
2025-12-14 249.350825 319.284140 408.654000 532.782770 703.175011 932.490593 1270.704482
2025-12-21 212.492251 282.272620 375.448849 511.219622 707.820109 988.224235 1429.679134
2025-12-28 196.610488 270.123365 372.341747 528.118025 765.409758 1123.314238 1724.036241
2026-01-04 185.050817 262.012454 372.996817 549.178384 830.391458 1277.328663 2074.659223
2026-01-11 170.618614 247.802114 362.605260 551.350568 865.100722 1387.260519 2371.037671
2026-01-18 155.096343 230.183946 344.862632 539.190058 873.849423 1453.887124 2601.363731
2026-01-25 142.077405 215.063885 329.266699 528.266878 882.458622 1520.280496 2842.236270
2026-02-01 135.786660 209.876515 328.827497 542.392850 936.294978 1675.884389 3289.914584
2026-02-08 127.337182 200.370589 320.251956 541.145598 961.471874 1780.385481 3652.150037
2026-02-15 119.050618 190.395065 309.888292 535.363721 976.946481 1867.430439 3993.643891
2026-02-22 112.800461 183.497601 304.447624 538.500314 1011.217256 2000.601016 4478.477876
2026-03-01 105.162814 173.612632 292.896949 528.870994 1018.573938 2077.960299 4847.685613
2026-03-08 99.106744 166.011734 284.751977 524.865638 1036.909934 2182.329808 5311.823768
2026-03-15 91.289978 154.679389 268.813965 503.674555 1015.532510 2191.829338 5523.076536
2026-03-22 89.070597 153.332246 271.378430 520.281638 1079.610197 2415.150138 6397.424346
2026-03-29 87.456545 152.954764 275.709225 540.976776 1155.914498 2683.071256 7487.816810
2026-04-05 83.798645 148.446274 271.595364 543.111158 1188.860977 2845.763142 8299.863059
2026-04-12 78.899826 141.225548 261.531908 531.161957 1186.058303 2912.467102 8814.671572
2026-04-19 74.510196 134.710103 252.408861 520.427918 1184.927588 2983.862060 9369.936029
2026-04-26 72.879772 133.499905 254.026390 534.309171 1248.430865 3251.746229 10735.392485
2026-05-03 69.913028 129.425055 249.364722 533.083569 1272.270271 3407.686156 11732.050748